Our paper "Predicting extreme sub-hourly precipitation intensification based on temperature shifts" was selected as best paper in the field of statistical hydrology by the International Commission on Statistical Hydrology of the International Association of Hydrological Sciences. 

We are very excited to attend the STAHY workshop in Victoria Falls next spring to present it. 

The workshop discussed targeted machine learning methods for “small data” problems - when the underlying learning task is highly underdetermined, due to a large problem dimension relative to the size of the training. My contribution dealt with the problem of quantifying extreme precipitation in ungauged locations.

Our paper "A Method to Assess and Explain Changes in Sub-Daily Precipitation Return Levels From Convection-Permitting Simulations”, published in Water Resources Research ranked third in the prestigious ADIA Lab Best Paper Award in Climate Data Science. The award, with Nobel laureates in the committee, consists in 100,000$ prize to be divided among the three winning papers.

Our new paper published in Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences highlights an important conceptual difference between the duration used in ID thresholds and the duration used in IDF curves that was overlooked by the landslide literature so far.

The workshop Urban Rainfall in a Warming World was organized within the Coastal Protection and Flood Resilience Institute (CFI) of Singapore annual symposium. It focused on advancing knowledge on convective storms and rainfall extremes in a changing climate. A great platform to exchange perspectives of how local agencies and authorities worldwide are preparing for intensifying rainfall extremes.

In a new paper published in npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, we show that an average temperature increase of 2°C could double the frequency of short-duration summer thunderstorms in the Alpine region: what today happens every half-century could occur every 25 years in the future.

My HYPES project has been selected for funding within the FIS 3 Consolidator Grant call. This is a rather competitive call in Italy recently established following the spirit of ERC grants. It’s a dream come true: the chance of conducting multidisciplinary, theoretical, exciting research, the kind of research I love the most!

Thanks Ilaria, Antonio and Isadora for wanting me in the final workshop of their project RISE: Rethinking and Innovating Statistics for Extremes. Being the only non-statistician speaking was a bit scary, though. I hope they enjoyed my contribution, at least it was in line with the "rethinking" advocated by the project. 

Our paper "Predicting extreme sub-hourly precipitation intensification based on temperature shifts" has received the 2024 Jim Dooge Award from Hydrology and Earth System Sciences (HESS) as one of the outstanding papers of the year. In this paper, we introduce a new statistical model (TENAX) to predict changes in extreme sub-hourly precipitation using physical covariates.